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Return, risk and performance · 8 min · one of the trickiest

How returns are measured

Absolute, CAGR, XIRR and total return

A fund can wave a big number and still be ordinary, because how a return is quoted changes how good it looks, so the exam makes you do the arithmetic. The simplest measure is absolute return: the plain percentage gain, (end − start) ÷ start, with no regard for time. It is honest for short periods but flattering over long ones, saying a fund “returned 100%” hides that it took five years to double.

That is why, for anything beyond a year, we use CAGR (compound annual growth rate), which spreads the compounded gain evenly per year so funds and periods can be compared. The formula is worth memorising: CAGR = (end ÷ start)^(1 ÷ years) − 1. Double your money in five years and the CAGR is 2^0.2 − 1 ≈ 14.9% a year, not 100%. But CAGR quietly assumes a single lump sum, which breaks the moment money goes in at different times, as in a SIP. There, the right measure is XIRR, which accounts for the timing of every cash flow; quoting a plain CAGR on a SIP is simply wrong.

Two refinements keep you honest. Point-to-point returns depend entirely on the start and end dates chosen, so a lucky window can flatter a fund; rolling returns average many overlapping periods and reveal consistency instead. And when comparing a fund to its yardstick, the standard is the Total Return Index (TRI), which counts dividends as reinvested, exactly what the fund itself does, making it a fair benchmark rather than a price index that ignores income. Master these, and no advertised number can mislead you.

  1. 1

    Absolute return is the plain percentage gain, end value minus start value, divided by start value, ignoring how long it took.

  2. 2

    CAGR (compound annual growth rate) spreads the gain evenly per year, so different periods can be compared; CAGR equals (end divided by start) raised to the power of one-over-years, minus one.

  3. 3

    Use absolute return only for periods up to a year; for anything longer, use CAGR.

  4. 4

    XIRR is the right measure when money goes in at different times, as with a SIP, because CAGR assumes a single lump sum.

  5. 5

    Point-to-point returns depend on the chosen start and end dates; rolling returns average many periods and are fairer.

  6. 6

    Funds are benchmarked against the Total Return Index (TRI), which counts dividends as reinvested, so it is a fair yardstick, not the price index alone.

Rupee example

₹1 lakh grows to ₹2 lakh in 5 years. Absolute return is 100%. CAGR is (2)^(1/5) − 1 ≈ 0.149, about 14.9% a year, a far more honest figure than saying it 'returned 100%'.

Practice

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Real exam format. Answer by voice, tap, or press 1 to 4. No negative marking, so always attempt.

₹1,00,000 grows to ₹1,50,000 in one year. The absolute return is:

Absolute return is (1,50,000 − 1,00,000) / 1,00,000 = 0.50 = 50%. Over one year, absolute return and annual return are the same.
15%, 5% and 150% do not match the gain of one-half.

For a 5-year investment, which measure gives the fairest yearly figure?

CAGR spreads the compounded gain evenly per year, so it can be compared across funds and periods; absolute return over 5 years overstates the yearly experience.
Absolute, a cherry-picked year, or a single day all mislead over a multi-year horizon.

An investor puts money in through a monthly SIP. The correct measure of their return is:

With money invested at many different dates, XIRR accounts for the timing of each cash flow. CAGR assumes a single lump sum and would be wrong here.
Absolute return, a lump-sum CAGR, or a starting NAV ignore the staggered SIP cash flows.

₹1 lakh doubles to ₹2 lakh in 5 years. The CAGR is closest to:

CAGR = (2,00,000/1,00,000)^(1/5) − 1 = 2^0.2 − 1 ≈ 0.149, about 15% a year. The 100% figure is the absolute return, not the annual one.
20% and 10% are too far off; 100% is the total, not the annual, return.

Mutual funds are benchmarked against a Total Return Index (TRI) because it:

A TRI includes dividends reinvested, so comparing a fund (which also earns and reinvests income) against it is like-for-like, unlike a price-only index.
TRI is not defined by being higher, does not ignore dividends, and does not remove risk.
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